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Savills Agribusiness Update Print E-mail
Business Strategy Plans and Costings
Written by Antony Oliphant   
Friday, 15 June 2007
 
Agribusiness Update
June 2007
Savills



While commodity markets continue to excite the arable sector input costs for livestock are rising at a rate which will be disproportionate to margin. Climate change continues to make the headlines but for producers the next challenge will be to understand their carbon footprint and ways in which they will be able to meet the standards required of their customers. Do talk to our agribusiness advisers about the challenges your business might face in the future.


Markets & Quotas

Crops£/tTrend
Wheat97   Firmer
Oil Seed Rape168Firmer
Beans128Weaker
Livestockp/kgTrend
Lamb271 d'wtFirmer
Beef207 d'wtWeaker
Pig Meat109 d'wtFirmer
Milk
Farmgate (av)17.75ppl
Quota Sale2.40 ppl
Quota Lease0.20 ppl

Industry Issues

  • Cereal markets around the world hit new contract highs last week as news was released of drought in the Ukraine and weather concerns in the US. Bulgaria and Northern China have drought problems and Romania has marked its crop down by 40%. Marketing the 2007 harvest will now prove interesting and with some producers already committed up to 40% of sales, forecasting the top of the market will be a challenge
  • Whether any market controls will be imposed by the EU to protect the livestock sector is a question some traders are wondering - it seems unlikely unless the values rise significantly above the current range
  • UK millers use of home-grown wheat has increased by 1% in the current season with only 0.68 Mt out of the total 4.2 Mt used imported
  • Malaysian palm oil futures reached 9 year highs last week and US soya oil futures came close to a 23 year high. These price rises have reduced both oils competitiveness for the production of biodiesel
  • Pulse crops have recovered after recent rains with their potential now looking much better. Market values are and will remain firm with strong export demand for new crop
  • EU maize intervention has now been agreed with a ceiling for purchases set at 1.5 Mt in 2007/08 and 0.7 Mt in 2008/09. Thereafter intervention won't be continued
  • HGCA are promoting oilseed rape as a locally grown alternative to olive oil. The campaign will highlight the nutritional benefits of rapeseed oil which is low in saturated fat and a source of vitamin D and E
  • The AMPE (actual milk price equivalent),which is an independent calculation tracking the current market prices for butter and skimmed milk powder and relating these to a delivered milk price to a dairy processor, continues to soar. The current divergence between AMPE and farmgate price suggest that there could be cause for further milk price increases in the future. The AMPE has increased by 29% to 23.8ppl since January
  • According to Reuters drinking yoghurt is the fastest growing food category in the world with annual sales growth having reached 18.4%
  • According to the latest MDC statistics while UK dairy producers have declined in all regions the national herd size has increased. The main increases have been in Scotland and Northern Ireland. While herd size has remained the same, yield per cow continues to increase - it is now 23% higher than 10 years ago
  • Milk quota values continued to fall and while they are now 84% down on 04/05 they hardly register against the figure of 61.99ppl in 1996. 55% of quota is now held by farms producing more the 1Mlt per year
  • Lamb prices have made some recovery as retailers change to new season lamb but the scale of New Zealand Imports continues to raise concern. According to recent DEFRA statistics both sheep and cattle slaughterings were significantly down in the first quarter of 2007 while the number of pigs killed was at a 4 year high
  • Recent data from EBLEX (English Beef and Lamb Executive) shows that just 46% of prime beef is hitting the ideal target market specification with 43% failing on conformation and 6% are too fat
  • Yara Fertilisers recently released bid for Kemira will make it Europe's number one supplier.  The news is likely to have come as a shock to Terra who have been floundering with the Competition Commission to finalise a UK joint venture with Kemira. It seems likely that the JV will go through regardless - Yara is of course Terra largest customer in the UK
  • The UK AN market has as expected started trading at around £149/tonne. Of course while gas prices have reduced it is straightforward supply and demand economics that has fired the market. This position seems likely to continue until 2009 at least.

Single Payment Scheme (SPS) & Environmental Stewardship

  • EU Farm Ministers are likely to agree to the Fruit and Vegetable reform this week - most areas of change are now clear although agreement will have to be reached on how the crisis funding will work and also how some partial coupling of direct aid will be allowed for a short transition period
  • The school fruit and vegetable scheme sought by Commissioner Fischer Boel within the sector reforms should have a budget of €100m from EU funds with national co-funding of at least the same amount. The Commission has said that the scheme would be optional for Member States
  • The Commissioner plans to publish a Communication on the 'Health Check' in October to launch the debate. She has hinted that compulsory modulation would be increased to reach 10% by 2013 as a modest proposal. She is adamant that 0.3 ha is too low a threshold for eligibility to the Single Payment Scheme and that it should rise to 1.0 ha as a more appropriate measure to call something a farm. As far as 'capping' is concerned she is now hesitant at the efficiency of such a measure given lawyers' ability to split holdings - however she hinted that the Commission was looking at other ways of dealing with the larger beneficiaries
  • According to a Commission Green Paper due to be published this week adaptation to climate change should be an explicit objective of all agricultural and rural development policies and should be fully integrated into both pillars of the CAP. It suggests promoting minimum or zero tillage and makes the case for significant increases in R & D expenditure to look other mitigation measures
  • Finally, on the 'home' front applications for HLS seem destined to be challenging with high points targets remaining in place in most regions. As feared earlier in the year a number of farmers who have been committed to CSS for the last 10 years will not be able to upgrade to HLS and will be faced with the dilemma of continuing to maintain those environmental measures without compensation or withdrawing. For most neither will be a decision they will relish taking.

West

Ashley Lilley
01531 651 203
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Head of Agribusiness

Mark Little
01603 229 225 This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it

North & East Midlands

Robert Hall 
01522 508 982 This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it

South

Steve Hollis
01722 426 850
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Central

Keith Preston
01865 269 170
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East Anglia

Peter Bennett
01223 347 221
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View more information and the latest in Savills Research documents on our website.
 
Succession Planning Report - Farmers in YH Region Print E-mail
Business Strategy Plans and Costings
Written by Antony Oliphant   
Friday, 09 February 2007

Farmers fail to plan for the future, report warns. Farmers in Yorkshire and the Humber are leaving it too late to plan the succession of their land and businesses, according to new research. Just one farmer interviewed for a report said he had succession plans in place in the event of his retirement or death and the older generation are worried that the younger farmers are turning their back on the industry.

The report, "Succession Planning within Farming Families", was compiled by Sally Conner, North Yorkshire Rural Stress Co-ordinator for the Yorkshire Rural Support Network whose remit is to help combat stress within the countryside. The Network represents both the statutory and voluntary sectors and is chaired by the Yorkshire Agricultural Society as part of its work supporting the region’s rural community.

Go to Report

Last Updated ( Friday, 09 February 2007 )
 
Sugar Reform Print E-mail
Business Strategy Plans and Costings
Written by Antony Oliphant   
Sunday, 03 December 2006

The sugar reform deal of 2005 will have a major impact on UK production. Beet producers are likely to get larger and more specialised. The UK sugar industry is competitive within Europe but the threat from cane sugar is likely to increase. ABF and British Sugar are hedging their bets between beet and cane and geographically. Read more from the RuSource paper by Carl Atkin of Bidwells.

Last Updated ( Sunday, 03 December 2006 )
 
Research News Print E-mail
Business Strategy Plans and Costings
Written by Antony Oliphant   
Saturday, 29 July 2006

Monthly Research news letter from Aubourn, the Rural Business Consultancy Division of Savills. A short bullet point documnet for a quick overview of where things stand in the market and the outlook  with topical comment on legislation and world trade.

News of latest farm prices and trends for milk,  meat, quotas, cereals, roots, oils seed rape and other break crops. Industry news, single payments scheme, management and environnmental issues together with seasonal input prices.

 July 2006 Research

Last Updated ( Saturday, 29 July 2006 )
 
RPA Site Index 2006 Single Payment Scheme Print E-mail
Business Strategy Plans and Costings
Written by Antony Oliphant   
Thursday, 23 March 2006

Latest SPS publication (March 2006) and updates for the Single Payment Scheme from the RPA

Main index page Click Here

or choose direct access to links: -

21/03/06SPS Handbook and Guidance for England 2006 edition
21/03/06Sample 2006 SPS Application Form
23/02/06Understanding your Payment Statement Guidance
23/02/06Understanding your Entitlements Statement Guidance
14/02/06Form RLE 1 Guidance Notes Supplement

Last Updated ( Friday, 04 August 2006 )
 
Rural Reserach Library Print E-mail
Business Strategy Plans and Costings
Written by Antony Oliphant   
Wednesday, 22 March 2006
Access to the Savills Rural Research papers covering topics from land prices, rents, single payment entitlements and more. Downloads are usually free. Click here for Savills Rural Research 
Last Updated ( Thursday, 23 March 2006 )
 
Energy Saving and Efficiency Print E-mail
Business Strategy Plans and Costings
Written by Antony Oliphant   
Friday, 10 March 2006
Access to a valuable website resource from Business Link with information and links to help save energy and reduce costs in your business.
Find out how to save elecricity, gas and fuel costs
Save money by using energy more efficiently.


To access grants nd support related to energy saving and efficeincy click here
To access national and regional events on this topic click here

Last Updated ( Friday, 10 March 2006 )
 
Buusiness Support and Economic Development - Business Link and Local Authorities Print E-mail
Business Strategy Plans and Costings
Written by Antony Oliphant   
Friday, 10 March 2006
Many local authorities offer a range of business-support services to encourage economic development and regeneration. It's worth checking your council's website or telephoning its business-support unit to find out about the services it offers.




At the very least it should be able to put you in touch with a range of local business-support organisations such as your local Business Link, Chamber of Commerce, Learning and Skills Council or the Prince's Trust.



Some local authorities may also provide access to funding. This is often dependent on the business offering services the local community needs. For example, support may be available for businesses starting up in rural areas.

Check with your local authority's business-support unit to find out what's available.

Your local authority may be able to help you find premises or put you in touch with business parks in the area. It may also run a Local Business Partnership, a group that consults with local businesses on regulations and reports to government.

 
Growing Routes Print E-mail
Business Strategy Plans and Costings
Written by Antony Oliphant   
Thursday, 24 March 2005
Growing Routes helps people under 45 years old, living in rural parts of Yorkshire and the Humber, to start new businesses. Growing Routes is run by the Yorkshire Agricultural Society and funded by Yorkshire Forward because. Growing Routes has been designed to offer practical help, which includes developing business plans, financial help Mentor guidance, links to other organisations and a business network. Click here for the Growing Routes home page.

 
Business information and advice Print E-mail
Business Strategy Plans and Costings
Written by Georgina Robinson   
Friday, 25 February 2005

This site provides information relating to:

up to date facts and figures

in-depth information

bespoke research

one to one support from a business

Click here to go to the Business Link site.

 

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